Skip down to page content.

Blog

Displaying blog entries 1-6 of 6

Pending Home Sales Plunge 30% in May, Says NAR

According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR), the May 2010 Pending Home Sales Index declined on the heels of the spring home sales surge driven by the federal home buyer tax credit program.

The Pending Home Sales Index,  a forward-looking indicator, dropped 30.0 percent to 77.6 based on contracts signed in May from a reading of 110.9 in April, and is 15.9 percent below May 2009 when it was 92.3.  The falloff comes on the heels of three strong monthly gains as home buyers rushed to take advantage of the tax credit.

The data reflects contracts and not closings, which normally occur with a lag time of one or two months.  However, many closings have been delayed recently from a rush of buyers into the system and slow processing of short sales, in addition to the heavy volume and a more thorough loan underwriting process.  As many as 180,000 buyers who signed contracts by April 30 may have missed the June 30 closing deadline for the tax credit.  However, Congress passed legislation yesterday to extend the deadline for delayed contracts and President Obama is expected to sign.

NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun said, "Consumers are rational and they rushed to meet the tax credit eligibility deadline in April.  The sharp decline in contract signings in May is a natural result with similar low levels of sales activity anticipated in June," he said.  "Surprisingly, though, some local markets such as Portland, Maine, and Jacksonville, Fla., actually experienced an increase in contract signings from a year ago without the tax credit.

"Existing-home sales that close in June will remain elevated, but we'll then see a notable decline for July and August, with additional impact if the is not renewed."

Congress also reauthorized the National Flood Insurance Program.  Many lenders were hesitant to approve mortgages on homes needing flood insurance without congressional action and numerous sales have been on hold.  The action is retroactive to a temporary authorization that expired May 31, and also is expected to be signed by the president.

Yun noted the tax credit has broadly stabilized home prices.  "Without the tax credit, there will be more aggressive price negotiations between buyers and sellers.  The key test on whether the housing market can stand on its own without stimulus medicine will depend critically on private sector job creation in the second half of the year.  We'll also keep a close eye on market conditions on the Gulf Coast."

Through May of this year 495,000 net private sector jobs have been created; NAR's forecast for employment growth is about 1 million additional net new jobs over the balance of the year and another 2 million in 2011.

"If jobs come back as expected, the pace of home sales should pick up later this year and reach a sustainable level of activity given very favorable affordability conditions," Yun said.

"In most areas of the country there will be no sharp snap back in home prices in the upcoming years, although some local markets have experienced double-digit gains this year," Yun said.  NAR forecasts the national median home price to rise only 4 percent cumulatively over the next two years.

"One factor that could lead to price acceleration in upcoming years for some markets is if the very low levels of idx construction were to persist for another year or two," he added.

The PHSI in the Northeast fell 31.6 percent to 67.0 in May and is 14.8 percent lower than May 2009.  In the Midwest the index dropped 32.1 percent to 70.8 and is 20.2 percent below a year ago.  Pending home sales in the South fell 33.3 percent to an index of 82.5, and are 14.4 percent lower than May 2009.  In the West the index declined 20.9 percent to 85.3 and is 15.1 percent below a year ago.


House Extends Home Buyer Tax Credit Closing Deadline

RISMEDIA, July 1, 2010—(MCT)—The House of Representatives introduced and passed a proposal to extend the original June 30 closing deadline for home buyers who want to get up to $8,000 in tax credits.

The Home Buyers Assistance Act of 2010 would push the deadline to midnight September 30, 2010 on contracts that were signed by the midnight April 30 deadline. The vote was 409 to 5, with 18 not voting.

First-time buyer Juan Martinez of Hicksville had prayed for such a reprieve. “That’s awesome,” said Martinez, whose chosen home in Hempstead Village is ready to close except for one thing—a delay in up to $110,000 in down payment assistance grants. He added, “It’s like a roller-coaster ride until the bill is signed. I’d rather not get too excited about it.”

The bill will now be forwarded to the Senate, where the Democrat-controlled chamber had attached the same proposal to versions of the jobs and economic stimulus bill, which failed twice this month due to lack of support from Republicans expressing concern about the deficit.

The National Association of Realtors estimated that up to 180,000 people would bust the existing deadline, including almost 9,200 in New York State. A spokesman for the trade group said the proposal might not have to go through the usual House-Senate talks over bill differences.

“We think this has a good chance, but I don’t want to build up too many hopes,” spokesman Lucien Salvant said with a laugh, “because anything can happen in the hallway between the House and Senate.”

Veronique Bailey, a Brooklyn, N.Y. resident and teacher, had signed a contract for a six-bedroom Amityville, N.Y. house in September, but was delayed by, among other things, permit and code problems in her chosen home. “It makes you vulnerable and it’s not in your control.”

Even with an extension, some home closing deals might fall apart. Some contracts say the deals must close by the end of June 30. That gives sellers a chance to walk away.

But financial consultant Greg Rende of Massapequa, N.Y. has no worries, even though he’s busting the deadline. The developer of a new Amityville condo complex has not finished his unit, he said, but Rende got a backup clause in the contract. “If we weren’t closed by June 30 and the builder was not ready,” Rende said, “he would have to pay me the $8,000 I don’t get for the first-time home buyer credit.”

In normal times, two months to close would be doable. But these are not normal times, and Rende thinks Congress did not consider how swamped lenders and lawyers would be.

Copyright (c) 2010, Newsday, Melville, N.Y.

Distributed by McClatchy-Tribune Information Services.

RISMedia welcomes your questions and comments. Send your e-mail to: realestatemagazinefeedback@rismedia.com.

Copyright© 2010 RISMedia, The Leader in Real Estate Information Systems and Real Estate News. All Rights Reserved. This material may not be republished without permission from RISMedia.

Home Buyers Who Missed 8,000 Dollar Tax Credit Coming Out Ahead

RISMEDIA, June 29, 2010—(MCT)—Home shoppers who missed the April 30 deadline for a housing tax credit might have the last laugh. For a variety of reasons, they could end up saving more than the $8,000 they could have received from the tax refund.

In some neighborhoods and price ranges, sellers are dropping their prices because buyers are harder to find now that the credit has expired. Builders and real estate companies began offering promotions after the tax credit ended that, in many cases, are worth more than the credit.

Interest rates have dropped enough since the credit deadline that, over the life of a loan, a homeowner could easily save more than the value of the credit. “I think some folks possibly could have benefited from waiting until after the tax credit,” said Joe Jackson, a real estate agent with Keller Williams Capital Partners. “It would depend on the price point they were buying in and the market they were looking in.”

Home sales leapt in March and April during the waning weeks of the credit, especially for homes priced at less than $200,000, which appealed to first-time home buyers. Since the credit expired, home contracts and building permits have tapered off, leaving sellers with fewer buyers and, in some cases, little choice but to cut their price.

According to real estate website Trulia.com, which tracks price reductions, 30% of central Ohio homes for sale on May 1 had reduced their asking price—more than in April or March. Buyers hope they can take advantage.

Karen Kosnikowski learned days after the tax credit ended that she would have to leave her Victorian Village apartment June 30 because her landlord wanted the place. Her initial frustration at missing the tax credit changed when she started seeing price declines. “I would say five or 10 times a day, something comes in, and half of those are price drops. Sometimes, they are down several thousand,” Kosnikowski said. “So places I’ve seen before are starting to drop, or others are coming into my price range.”

A home in the Clintonville neighborhood she has toured twice, for example, dropped in May from $185,000 to $167,900. Another Clintonville home on her radar dropped from $179,900 to $167,000 after the credit expired, while a Downtown condo she visited went from $189,900 to $169,500.

“None of these went anywhere during the tax credit,” said her agent, Terry Penrod of Real Living HER. “So Karen can just wait to see how low they go.”

Kathy Shiflet, an agent in the Dublin-Hilliard office of Coldwell Banker King Thompson, has found the same thing. She represents a buyer looking for a two-story home in Hilliard. After the tax credit expired, one of two homes under consideration dropped from $156,900 to $149,900 while the other dropped from $154,900 to $149,900.

The tax credit might have something to do with it, but Shiflet thinks the season is a greater factor. “There have been reductions in prices, but traditionally, prices start to come down in June anyway,” she said, “because everyone wants to move in time for school.”

Those shopping for new homes are finding a different kind of bargain as some builders roll out incentives to keep traffic moving.

After the credit expired, Dominion Homes and Fischer Homes launched promotions for free finished basements and/or other upgrades. Either deal would be worth well above the $8,000 credit. “We expected a drop in traffic after the tax credit expired, and we saw that a little bit,” said Jon Jasper, who manages the Columbus division of Fischer Homes. “We anticipated that, and we had strategized to offer some incentives to bring people back. That promotion we’re offering with the free basement is huge in this market.”

Other builders are offering free appliances, trade-in programs, rebates and “sweat-equity” discounts that allow a homeowner to drop the price by painting, landscaping or otherwise helping to finish their home.

Mike Marshall, an agent with Buyer’s Resource Realty Services, said he represented one buyer who deliberately passed on the tax credit to wait for a better deal on a idx. “They found a new build that was so much better in price with the discounts that they gave up the tax credit,” Marshall said.

Real estate companies are also getting into the act. To compensate for the vanishing tax credit, Coldwell Banker launched its Buyer Bonus Program that awards up to $8,000 back to buyers from participating sellers.

Finally, interest rates have dropped nearly half a point since the end of April, saving buyers thousands of dollars over the life of a loan. Buyers of a $180,000 home who borrowed $173,700 in mid-April at an interest rate of 5.125% would have paid $377,442 over the next 30 years—$15,000 more than they would pay if they borrowed last week at an interest rate of 4.75%.

“I know it’s not money in your pocket right away,” said Barb Wilson, the head of mortgage lending at Newark-based Park National Bank, “but the value of the interest rate today is really better than the tax credit.”

Some real estate experts see the central Ohio housing market now settling into a normal rhythm in the absence of the stimulus, which so far has cost taxpayers $18.7 billion.

“At the end of the day, we don’t believe the tax stimulus will put us any further ahead than we would have been otherwise,” said Jerry White, executive vice president with Coldwell Banker King Thompson.

Copyright (c) 2010, The Columbus Dispatch, Ohio

Distributed by McClatchy-Tribune Information Services.

RISMedia welcomes your questions and comments. Send your e-mail to: realestatemagazinefeedback@rismedia.com.

Copyright© 2010 RISMedia, The Leader in Real Estate Information Systems and Real Estate News. All Rights Reserved. This material may not be republished without permission from RISMedia.

House OKs extension of tax credit closing deadline

Senate could vote Wednesday

Inman News

In a 409-5 vote, House lawmakers have passed a standalone bill that would extend for three months Wednesday's deadline for closing on a home purchase in order to claim the federal homebuyer tax credit.

The Senate could vote on the bill, HR 5623, as soon as tomorrow, although the death of Sen. Robert Byrd, D-W.Va., has slowed the pace of work in that chamber.

Without an extension, the National Association of Realtors estimates as many as 180,000 homebuyers who were under contract by April 30 may miss the June 30 closing deadline, including 17,700 in California, 15,340 in Texas, 14,830 in Florida and 9,130 in New York.

"Keep your fingers crossed," said Lucien Salvant, an NAR spokesman, who said prospects for quick passage of the bill are mixed.

While some observers think HR 5623, "The Homebuyer Assistance and Improvement Act," could sail through without further delay, there's no guarantee it will come to a vote, Salvant said.

The Senate is already on record supporting an extension, having amended a bill on June 16 to push the deadline back to Sept. 30. But other provisions of that bill, the "American Jobs and Closing Tax Loopholes Act of 2010," have proved controversial, prompting House lawmakers to introduce a standalone bill

Take Advantage Of A New Kind Of Homebuyer Credit

Take Advantage Of A New Kind Of Homebuyer Credit.

The Coldwell Banker® Buyer Bonus Event is available nationwide. Participating homeowners will refund 3% of the accepted offer price, up to an $8,000* credit, to all buyers. There are no income or property eligibility requirements, and the credit is applied at closing.

What Does That Mean For You?

For Buyers:
  • Receive up to an $8,000* credit at signing
  • Open to all potential homebuyers
  • Sign on your terms—with flexible closing deadlines
For Sellers:
  • Add prominence to your listing with an $8,000* incentive, applied at closing, for interested buyers
  • Increase exposure on coldwellbanker.com searches
  • Do your part to keep the momentum of the government tax credit going

Event ends July 31, 2010

Homebuyer Tax Credit Ends, But Other Incentives Emerge

http://www.cnbc.com/id/36828305